66539

Автор(ов): 

2

Параметры публикации
Тип публикации: 
Статья в журнале/сборнике
Название: 
Estimating the Target Survival Probability in the Attackers–Target–Defenders Problem
Электронная публикация: 
Да
ISBN/ISSN: 
0005-1179
DOI: 
10.1134/S0005117921090071
Наименование источника: 
Automation and Remote Control
Обозначение и номер тома: 
Vol. 82, No. 9
Город: 
Road Town
Издательство: 
Pleiades Publishing, Ltd.
Год издания: 
2021
Страницы: 
1597-1606
Аннотация
The attackers–target–defenders problem is formulated and formalized as a positional zero-sum game with incomplete information. A method for estimating the target survival probability given some estimates of attackers’ dynamic capabilities is proposed, and recurrence expressions for its calculation are obtained. The corresponding numerical target survival probability estimations with optimal behavior of the players are made. The defenders in the game are assigned three different roles: the role of a false target, the target tracking role, and the attacker intercepting role. The survival probability considered as a function of the attackers–target–defenders problem parameters is analyzed. The obtained probability estimates can be used as heuristic estimates for the performance of the corresponding dynamical system. The obtained optimal strategies can be considered as heuristics for the corresponding attackers–target–defenders differential game. The optimal strategies contain orders for the players indicating their current roles. Using the Python language, we developed a software module that allows one to calculate the target survival probability based on known problem parameters.
Библиографическая ссылка: 
Бузиков М.Э., Галяев А.А. Estimating the Target Survival Probability in the Attackers–Target–Defenders Problem // Automation and Remote Control. 2021. Vol. 82, No. 9. С. 1597-1606.
Публикация имеет версию на другом языке или вышла в другом издании, например, в электронной (или онлайн) версии журнала: 
Да